NurseLeah_Nash said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Can confirm. Same sequence, different timescale.
NurseLeah_Nash said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Can confirm. Same sequence, different timescale.
NurseLeah_Nash said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Coming at NurseLeah_Nash’s question from a different direction. The distinction that resolves most of these threads is between what is true on average and what is true for one person. Both are real; they answer different questions and get quoted as if they were the same one.
One concrete data point for the thread. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.
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Shop Reference StandardsFollowing on from NurseLeah_Nash — and this may be the naive question:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
Closing the loop on my own question.
Late follow-up. I did not do what was suggested, I did something adjacent, and it worked; posting the difference in case it matters to somebody.