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ForumsDosing & ProtocolsPK/PD modeling for tirzepatide — looking for input

PK/PD modeling for tirzepatide — looking for input

Dr.EndoIndy Tue, Jun 25, 2024 at 7:43 PM 15 replies 1,918 viewsPage 1 of 3
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Dr.EndoIndy
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Jun 25, 2024 at 7:43 PM#1

Collecting this in one place because it comes up every few weeks and the answer is always assembled from scratch. It is about tirzepatide, and it is deliberately narrow — everything I am not confident about is marked as such.

What is actually established

The GIP arm is doing real work rather than padding the label. GIP receptor agonism appears to improve adipose insulin sensitivity and lipid handling, and — counter-intuitively — GIP signalling in the CNS reduces nausea rather than adding to it, which is why tolerability at high total agonism is better than the GLP-1-only comparison would predict. SURPASS-2 is the cleanest head-to-head: tirzepatide beat semaglutide 1mg at every dose tier.

The condition it depends on

The caveat that the head-to-head used semaglutide 1mg, not 2.4mg. It is still the best direct evidence available, but it is not the comparison most people think they are citing.

The practical version

Practical numbers: half-life about 5 days, steady state 3 to 4 weeks, ladder 2.5 / 5 / 7.5 / 10 / 12.5 / 15mg, and the maintenance doses with published data behind them are 5, 10 and 15mg.

What I am not sure about

What I am after is how much of the tirzepatide advantage is the GIP component and how much is simply that the dose ladder goes higher in receptor-occupancy terms. Happy to be told the question itself is wrong.

— Dr.EndoIndy · corrections welcome and will be edited into this post with credit
41 11mia_MS2, LeilaHI, marcus_mpls and 38 others
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Dr.SurgeonPGH
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Jun 25, 2024 at 7:59 PM#2
Dr.EndoIndy said:
The GIP arm is doing real work rather than padding the label.

No disagreement with Dr.EndoIndy. One condition attached. Steady state is faster than people expect: half-life about five days, so you are at plateau in roughly three to four weeks rather than five. That matters when you are deciding whether a dose step has finished expressing itself.

40 10TomTeleRx, DoseLogDan, SleepFixSam and 37 others
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KevinCompounds
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Jun 25, 2024 at 8:15 PM#3
Dr.EndoIndy said:
The GIP arm is doing real work rather than padding the label.

I read this differently from Dr.EndoIndy, on substance rather than tone. The "tirzepatide is simply better" summary irritates me. It is better on mean weight loss, and the cardiovascular outcome evidence is far thinner than semaglutide's. If the reason for treating is cardiovascular risk rather than weight, the evidence base points the other way.

39 9MikeKY_noInsulin, Dr.RaviCardio, jennifer_SEA and 36 others
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sophie_paris
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Jun 25, 2024 at 8:31 PM#4

This one has a reasonably settled answer, so here it is. SURMOUNT-1 landed around 20.9% mean weight loss at 15mg over 72 weeks, against roughly 15% for semaglutide 2.4mg in STEP 1. Different trials, different populations, so the comparison is indicative rather than decisive — but SURPASS-2 was a genuine head-to-head and it pointed the same way.

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Dr.NephBHM_UK
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Jun 25, 2024 at 9:57 PM#5
Dr.SurgeonPGH said:
Steady state is faster than people expect: half-life about five days, so you are at plateau in roughly three to four weeks rather than five.

Agreed, and the adaptation point cuts both ways: tachyphylaxis to gastric emptying is why tolerability improves, and it is also why people who were relying on physical fullness feel the effect fade while the appetite effect is still working.

Last edited: Jun 26, 2024 at 3:57 AM
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