JennaRN said:

Most of what circulates confidently in this community traces back to one summary of one study, and the qualifier was dropped somewhere in the third…

I read this differently from JennaRN, on substance rather than tone. Filing an objection on the n=1 problem. Personal experience is genuine evidence about one person and very weak evidence about anybody else, and this thread keeps promoting the first into the second.

The figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. One practical note: write down what you did and when, before you need it. Reconstructing a timeline from memory three months later is how people end up unable to answer the one question that would have resolved it.

COA_Karl said:

Personal experience is genuine evidence about one person and very weak evidence about anybody else, and this thread keeps promoting the first into the…

There is a second half to this that has not been said yet. Whatever the answer turns out to be, the method for getting there is the same: state the assumption, do the arithmetic in public, and invite the correction. That is slower than asserting, and it is the only version that survives being wrong.

Following on from julia.endo — and this may be the naive question:

How long did you give it before you decided it was working?

Reporting back.

Coming back a few months on. It held. Nothing dramatic to report, which is the report.