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ForumsClinical Trials & ResearchPemvidutide Phase 2 — NAFLD endpoints Page 3

Pemvidutide Phase 2 — NAFLD endpoints

MASHdoc_SA Sat, Jun 6, 2026 at 4:01 AM 20 replies 520 viewsPage 3 of 4
kevin_tulsa
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Jun 6, 2026 at 1:06 PM#11
DebRD_ATL said:
The gap between trial results and real-world results is consistent and it is not fraud.

This answered a question I did not know how to ask.

11 11fiona_glasgow, Dr.RheumBOS, greg_boulder and 8 others
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CarlaRPh_TPA
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Jun 6, 2026 at 5:08 PM#12

From the other side of the consultation, briefly.

MASHdoc_SA said:
...regarding the trial evidence...

I think this is an underappreciated point. To expand on it with some data:

A recent meta-analysis of 15 RCTs (n=12,300) found that the trial evidence was associated with a clinically meaningful effect size across diverse patient populations[1].

The NNT was 12, which is comparable to metformin for T2DM prevention. That's a strong clinical argument for this approach.

Last edited: Jun 6, 2026 at 9:08 PM
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pete_manc_UK
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Jun 6, 2026 at 9:10 PM#13
SarahChen_PharmD said:
The liver data is among the strongest non-weight findings in the class.

Forest plot interpretation for the the trial evidence meta-analysis: when reading the pooled estimate, pay attention to:

  1. Point estimate (HR/RR/OR) — center of the diamond
  2. Confidence interval width — precision of the estimate
  3. I² statistic — heterogeneity across studies
  4. Individual study weights — are results driven by one large trial?
  5. Prediction interval — range of plausible true effects in future settings

The the trial evidence meta-analysis shows a pooled RR of 0.78 (95% CI 0.66-0.83), I²=51%. This is a robust and consistent effect.

Last edited: Jun 7, 2026 at 3:10 AM
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Dr.PulmRoch
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Jun 7, 2026 at 1:12 AM#14
MASHdoc_SA said:
Read four things before the headline number.

Bayesian meta-analysis perspective on the trial evidence: traditional frequentist meta-analyses report point estimates and confidence intervals. Bayesian approaches provide probability distributions that are more intuitive for clinical decision-making.

For example: "There is a 98.5% probability that semaglutide 2.4mg produces >10% weight loss vs placebo" is more actionable than "RR 3.4, 95% CI 2.8-4.1, p<0.001."

The the trial evidence evidence is strong under both frameworks, but Bayesian analysis better communicates the degree of certainty for individual patient counseling.

8 8DebRD_ATL, KristenIndy, MarkLI_maint and 5 others
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mike_mod
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Jun 7, 2026 at 5:14 AM#15

Moderator note: two posts asking for a source have been merged into one. Please search the thread before asking again. No action needed from anybody.

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