A narrower follow-up, since the general answer is now clear:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
A narrower follow-up, since the general answer is now clear:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
steve_okc said:Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion.
I read this differently from steve_okc, on substance rather than tone. Pushing back on the consensus forming here. Consistency is not the same as correctness, and a board that agrees with itself quickly is usually agreeing with the first person who sounded certain.
steve_okc said:Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion.
Agreeing with steve_okc, and the qualification matters more than the agreement. Yes, and the corollary is less popular: if the reasoning holds, it also holds where it produces an answer we do not like.
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Shop Reference Standardssteve_okc said:Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion.
Genuinely useful, thank you. I had the facts and not the framework. Printing the relevant bit and taking it with me.
Adding the clinical framing, because it changes how the question reads. There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.