Dr.PathRoch said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Correct as far as it goes. The part it does not cover is what to do when the honest answer is "not enough data", which is more often than anyone likes.
sophie_paris said:That is right, and it stops being right at the edges.
That reframing is the part I needed. I will report back once I have actually tried it.
Dr.PathRoch said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Pushing back on Dr.PathRoch here. I think the framing smuggles in the conclusion. Ask it the other way round and the obvious answer reverses, which usually means the question is doing the work.
That is the short version; the long version is somebody else's post.
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View ResultsOne concrete data point for the thread. One practical note: write down what you did and when, before you need it. Reconstructing a timeline from memory three months later is how people end up unable to answer the one question that would have resolved it.