A narrower follow-up, since the general answer is now clear:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
TirzTom said:Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath.
Pushing back on TirzTom here. The counter-case has not been addressed. Somebody upthread described the situation that does not fit, and the thread moved on rather than engaging with it, which is the failure mode this board is supposed to avoid.
TirzTom said:Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath.
Agreed, and one caution: a single measurement is not a measurement. Anything that moves day to day needs a trend before it means anything at all.
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View ResultsTirzTom said:Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath.
This is exactly what I could not find anywhere else. Printing the relevant bit and taking it with me.
Reporting back.
For the archive: it took about six weeks rather than the two I expected, and the difference between those two numbers was the whole of my problem.