Dr.NutriCornell said:If two explanations both fit, the useful question is which one predicts something the other does not.
Correct, and worth adding that it is reversible. Nothing being described here is a one-way door, which changes how cautious it is reasonable to be.
hyun_seoul said:Agreed, with a caveat about community reputation: it is a lagging indicator.
Thank you — that is the clearest version of this I have read, and I have read a lot of them. Adding it to my notes with a link back to this thread.
Dr.NutriCornell said:If two explanations both fit, the useful question is which one predicts something the other does not.
Careful with the causal language. Two things moving together in a period when five things changed is not a mechanism, and stating it as one makes the thread less useful to somebody reading it later.
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View ResultsAdding the numbers, since they settle part of this. Give anything pharmacological four weeks before you judge it, and give anything measured weekly a four-point rolling average before you call it a trend.