Adding the clinical framing, because it changes how the question reads. The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions. Agreeing that something happens says nothing about whether it happens enough to act on.

hyun_seoul said:

The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions.

Mine went the same way, slower. Posting only so the count is not one.

hyun_seoul said:

The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions.

Adding the part of the answer the thread has not reached. It helps to say which part of this you are uncertain about. A precise question gets a precise answer; a general one gets everybody’s favourite anecdote.

Correct me if the detail matters more than I have assumed.

One concrete data point for the thread. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.

Moderator note: leaving this open. It is being argued well and the disagreement is the useful part. No action needed from anybody.