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ForumsCardiovascular OutcomesTirzepatide cardiovascular safety — SURPASS-CVOT design analysis

Tirzepatide cardiovascular safety — SURPASS-CVOT design analysis

TrialTracker_MD Mon, May 25, 2026 at 5:23 AM 14 replies 586 viewsPage 1 of 3
TrialTracker_MD
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May 25, 2026 at 5:23 AM#1

Putting this up for argument rather than for agreement. I have read it twice and I am still not certain what it supports.

The GIP arm is doing real work rather than padding the label. GIP receptor agonism appears to improve adipose insulin sensitivity and lipid handling, and — counter-intuitively — GIP signalling in the CNS reduces nausea rather than adding to it, which is why tolerability at high total agonism is better than the GLP-1-only comparison would predict. SURPASS-2 is the cleanest head-to-head: tirzepatide beat semaglutide 1mg at every dose tier.

Where I think it is weakest: the completion rate deserves as much attention as the headline, because a large effect among those who finished is a different claim from a large effect among those enrolled.

What would genuinely help is knowing how much of the tirzepatide advantage is the GIP component and how much is simply that the dose ladder goes higher in receptor-occupancy terms. I have searched first, so if this is covered somewhere point me at it and I will read it.

Note on sourcing:
Figures above are from the primary publication rather than the press summary. If a number here disagrees with one you have, post yours and we will work out which of us is reading a secondary source.
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julia.endo
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May 25, 2026 at 5:28 AM#2
TrialTracker_MD said:
The GIP arm is doing real work rather than padding the label.

That is correct as far as it goes, and here is where it stops going. Steady state is faster than people expect: half-life about five days, so you are at plateau in roughly three to four weeks rather than five. That matters when you are deciding whether a dose step has finished expressing itself.

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PharmD_Rodriguez
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May 25, 2026 at 5:33 AM#3
TrialTracker_MD said:
The GIP arm is doing real work rather than padding the label.

I read this differently from TrialTracker_MD, on substance rather than tone. The "tirzepatide is simply better" summary irritates me. It is better on mean weight loss, and the cardiovascular outcome evidence is far thinner than semaglutide's. If the reason for treating is cardiovascular risk rather than weight, the evidence base points the other way.

Last edited: May 25, 2026 at 10:33 AM
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NurseLeah_Nash
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May 25, 2026 at 5:38 AM#4

Short answer first, then the reasoning. SURMOUNT-1 landed around 20.9% mean weight loss at 15mg over 72 weeks, against roughly 15% for semaglutide 2.4mg in STEP 1. Different trials, different populations, so the comparison is indicative rather than decisive — but SURPASS-2 was a genuine head-to-head and it pointed the same way.

Last edited: May 25, 2026 at 6:38 AM
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nancy_portland
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May 25, 2026 at 6:03 AM#5
julia.endo said:
Steady state is faster than people expect: half-life about five days, so you are at plateau in roughly three to four weeks rather than five.

Agreed, with the qualification that SELECT enrolled a secondary-prevention population. Extrapolating a 20% relative reduction to a healthy 35-year-old with a BMI of 31 is not what that trial showed.

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