This is the version of the explanation I wish somebody had given me, written down before I forget what confused me. It is about semaglutide, and it is deliberately narrow — everything I am not confident about is marked as such.
What is actually established
The dose-response is real but shallow at the top. Across STEP 1 and STEP 4 the gap between 1.7mg and 2.4mg is a couple of percentage points of body weight on average, and the average is carrying a wide spread — plenty of people at 1.7mg sit above the 2.4mg mean. If a dose is working and tolerable, "working" is the relevant variable, not "maximal".
The condition it depends on
That holds for the injectable. The oral formulation has different absorption behaviour and the dose numbers are not interchangeable, which is worth saying out loud because people quote them as if they were.
The practical version
For anyone assembling their own picture: Tmax is one to three days, terminal half-life about 165 to 170 hours, steady state at four to five weeks, and subcutaneous bioavailability near 89%. Those four numbers explain most of the questions people ask about timing.
What I am not sure about
The narrow version of the question is how much of the between-person variation is pharmacokinetic and how much is just adherence measured badly. Numbers rather than impressions, if you have them.
— Dr.NephBHM_UK · corrections welcome and will be edited into this post with credit