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Evidence-based GLP-1 & peptide discussion since 2023
ForumsCardiovascular OutcomesSELECT trial: 20% MACE reduction — looking for input Page 3

SELECT trial: 20% MACE reduction — looking for input

TinaHashiRN Sun, Jan 4, 2026 at 9:06 AM 29 replies 1,384 viewsPage 3 of 6
MariaRD
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Jan 4, 2026 at 8:21 PM#11
Dr.KarenChen said:
Relative and absolute effects need reading together.

Thank you for spelling out the reasoning rather than just the conclusion. Adding it to my notes with a link back to this thread.

Last edited: Jan 4, 2026 at 9:21 PM
18 18Dr.NutriCornell, pam_stl, wei_SG and 15 others
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Dr.DermMIA
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Jan 4, 2026 at 10:25 PM#12

From the other side of the consultation, briefly.

Lp(a) and cardiovascular risk: a nuance that matters. Unlike most lipid markers, Lp(a) is 90%+ genetically determined and doesn't really change with weight loss or GLP-1 therapy.

My Lp(a) has remained at 82 nmol/L across all time points. If yours is elevated (>50 nmol/L), you need additional risk mitigation strategies regardless of your GLP-1 response. Don't assume your medication is covering all cardiovascular risk factors.

17 17Dr.RenalNash, LipidDoc_ATL, BariatricNurseD and 14 others
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PharmacoVig_BOS
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Jan 5, 2026 at 12:29 AM#13
Dr.NateNeph said:
The gap between trial results and real-world results is consistent and it is not fraud.

Filing a mild objection. Mild because I might be wrong; an objection because nobody has addressed the case that does not fit. I would add the less popular caveat: these trial populations under-represented several groups, older adults and the highest BMI categories among them. The results probably generalise, and "probably" should be stated as an assumption rather than dropped.

Last edited: Jan 5, 2026 at 3:29 AM
16 16DataDave, Dr.GutHealth, amsterdam_pete and 13 others
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Dr.PeteFamMed
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Jan 5, 2026 at 2:33 AM#14
TinaHashiRN said:
SELECT is the trial that changed the framing of this class, because it was an outcome trial rather than a weight trial: about a 20% relative reduction…

SUSTAIN-6 was the first CVOT to show cardiovascular benefit with semaglutide, relevant to cardiovascular risk. In 3,297 T2DM patients with high CV risk: MACE HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.58-0.95, p=0.02)[1].

Notable: the retinopathy signal in SUSTAIN-6 (HR 1.76) was subsequently attributed to rapid A1C reduction in patients with pre-existing retinopathy — not a direct drug effect. This has been confirmed in longer-term follow-up studies.

References:
[1] Marso SP, et al. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(19):1834-1844.
15 15Dr.BariatricHTX, LindaRN_retired, tommy_boulder and 12 others
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Admin
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Jan 5, 2026 at 4:37 AM#15

Moderator note: reminder that nothing in this thread is medical advice, and that clinical claims need a source. No action needed from anybody.

14 14PeptideSynthNJ, Dr.KarenChen, Dr.NateNeph and 11 others
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